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Alltel To Buy Midwest Wireless

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more consolidation (thoughts)

nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 11:27 AM
thanks rich.. 🙂

(if you want you can take the post off of this news that is located on the alltel forum)

as you can see there will be more consolidation as carriers especially rural ones try to compete.

opinions?

thoughts about if tmobile usa buys alltel?
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maxrebo

Nov 18, 2005, 11:38 AM
Why would T-Mobile buy Alltel? Alltel runs CDMA, T-Mobile is GSM. What a pain in the rear to convert a ton of CDMA people to GSM.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 11:48 AM
well why not? doesnt matter if one does gsm and one does cdma.. we already saw it with nextel and sprint.. (iden and cdma)

they could do dual mode phones and things of that nature..
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muchdrama

Nov 18, 2005, 12:33 PM
nextel18 said:
well why not? doesnt matter if one does gsm and one does cdma.. we already saw it with nextel and sprint.. (iden and cdma)

they could do dual mode phones and things of that nature..


Who wants to run a duel technology network...even for a short time? I'm thinking the other major carriers have recognized this folly.
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tadams

Nov 18, 2005, 12:37 PM
Im not saying that it couldn't happen, but someone gets paid alot of money to know that would be a stupid idea. It would just be insane and much too costly for T-Mobile to be able to do something like that.
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muchdrama

Nov 18, 2005, 12:45 PM
tadams said:
Im not saying that it couldn't happen, but someone gets paid alot of money to know that would be a stupid idea. It would just be insane and much too costly for T-Mobile to be able to do something like that.


Sometimes I think our little friend likes to drop perfectly insane scenarios on top of us for kicks. Annoying, no?
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 12:46 PM
our friends in canada, (telus) does the same thing with iden and cdma.

costly? well, tmobile has to spend money on doing many costly things.. ie increasing coverage, getting 3g spectrum and rolling out a 3g network.. this way they can just buy a company who already has a great footprint and possibily create some synergies..

it costs a lot of money to expand in any business, but one hopes to get a ROIC on it.

alltel has 75 million licensed pops with only 10 million customers..

it also looks like according to their balance sheet their wireless (property, plant and equipment) is 6.6 billion dollars.

(this also doesnt include their recent purchase)
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Wdw

Nov 18, 2005, 12:56 PM
Alltel is already building out a GSM network. It's something they adopted from the purchase of Western Wireless. Western Wireless genereated over % of their revenue from roamers.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 1:02 PM
another excellent point!!

so tmobile= gsm.
alltel= wants to be gsm..


tmobile= plenty of 1.9ghz
alltel= plenty of 850mhz

----

tmobile+alltel= great marriage..
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Tmobile85

Nov 18, 2005, 1:19 PM
LOL, great way to put it!
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 1:23 PM
a simple way of putting it.. lol.
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muchdrama

Nov 18, 2005, 1:56 PM
nextel18 said:
a simple way of putting it.. lol.


A mindbogglingly, horrifyingly simple way of putting it.
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tropicalhaven

Nov 18, 2005, 7:11 PM
Sprint has no long term plan on keeping the Nextel network running. Cingular has no long term plan on keeping TDMA running.

I'm sure that T-Mobile would not want to deal with "if you want to have roaming access with your phone, you must call us with the phone's serial number when you swap SIMs."

Not to say a deal couldn't happen, but if CDMA were running, it would not be under the T-Mobile brand.
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maxrebo

Nov 18, 2005, 8:31 PM
nextel18 said:
well why not? doesnt matter if one does gsm and one does cdma.. we already saw it with nextel and sprint.. (iden and cdma)

they could do dual mode phones and things of that nature..


Well, the world is going either CDMA or GSM -- iden will fade away over time as has/is analog & TDMA. Midwest Wireless still runs some analog & TDMA along with CDMA. Transition into CDMA since the other two are dying technologies.

CDMA and GSM are nothing related at all, so if T-Mobile would buy Alltel, they'd almost have to rebuild the entire network which would cost so much $$ (and not work worth a damn).
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foneguy

Nov 19, 2005, 7:14 PM
Last I checked(which was a while ago), Nextel was already planning to make the move to CDMA by 2010, so the buyout from Sprint(which was avoiding a Verizon buyout, if you believe the stories that cameout shortly beforehand) only fast tracked the move to CDMA by a few years.

I don't think that Alltel would be moving to GSM for several reasons. The fact that they now have the largest pure data footprint(according to in-house maps) in the nation is one, and the fact that they are trying to compete with the big V in bringing EVDO and other, newer technologies to market faster on their CDMA network.
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PooFlinger1

Nov 18, 2005, 11:48 AM
That would never happen. The owners almost sold Tmobile themselves. Tmobile will end up getting bough by somone else. Most likely verizon since Cingular bought ATT and sprint bought nextel. The FCC and FTC wouldnt let anyone else really buy them. and the small companies wouldnt have the money to buy them. The only other real player in the market to buy them would be bill gates... Imagine if you owned your own cell phone company.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 11:51 AM
verizon wouldnt be allowed to buy out tmobile.. (they would be over the cap)

so what do you think of IF alltel buys tmobile or tmobile buying alltel?

why would it never happen? please ellaborate more..
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muchdrama

Nov 18, 2005, 12:34 PM
nextel18 said:
verizon wouldnt be allowed to buy out tmobile.. (they would be over the cap)

so what do you think of IF alltel buys tmobile or tmobile buying alltel?

why would it never happen? please ellaborate more..


Here's more elaboration: It won't happen.
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PooFlinger1

Nov 18, 2005, 12:39 PM
Alltel wouldn't buy them because they dont have the funds. Even if they could afford the Tmobile company itself, the network conversion or customer buyout would be too expensive. They would be spending billions of dollars on the company itself and billions more to switch the customers over to CDMA. Switching the network over is not an option since the only way to add spectrum is to purchase it at the FCC auctions when the have them. Basically they would have a bunch of GSM network that they would have to try and sell to some of the smaller GSM companies.

Tmobile wouldn't buy alltel for alot of the same reasons. Two different networks, cost, etc. etc. Their parent company isnt going to be willing to invest billions of dollars in a co...
(continues)
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maizeandblue

Nov 18, 2005, 12:44 PM
actually when alltel purchased western wireless they gained both cdma and gsm services. the spectrum is that alone, spectrum. alltel can definitely convert the gsm to cdma. spectrum has nothing to do w/ the technology, just the frequency the service provider uses
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 12:52 PM
exactly what my thinking is with tmobile and alltel.

good point with the convert of the gsm to cdma and vice versa..
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PooFlinger1

Nov 18, 2005, 1:35 PM
No, when a carrier wants to put up more towers in new areas, or convert existing towers to a differnt type they have to clear it and buy the liscense to use those frequencies in the area. Thats the whole reason the FCC has these auctions. If you bought say two towers, one CDMA and one GSM, you can still operate both as long as you dont change the way the towers operate or change the frequency they work on. If companies were free to do this as they pleased, then the airwaves would be chaos and interference would be so bad that you would never know what you were getting. True, when a company buys another, they also get the spectrum they are using, but they cant change it without approval from the FCC. So although they have both GSM and CD...
(continues)
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 1:49 PM
"but they cant change it without approval from the FCC."

this is obvious..

you are saying things that obvious, my friend, but you can convert these types of spectrum quite easily..

for example..

you have contig spectrum of 800mhz of IDEN spectrum and you want to "transform" it into CDMA. if you have the spectrum in that area, you dont need to buy new spectrum.

another one..

you have 1.9ghz of spectrum.. you can either do GSM or CDMA or both..

----

i think you are missing the point..

you can transform spectrum quite easily.. (and towers)
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PooFlinger1

Nov 18, 2005, 3:31 PM
No I'm not missing the point. If you have that 800MHz spectrum of iDEN, you can't jsut convert it over to say 1900MHz CDMA. They reside in two completly different spectrums. The wole reason that they do these auction is because each area or market can only have so many providers in a given spectrum. If an area is at capacity for a given spectrum then you cant add more. Even if the towers are there, you cant just chage what they boradcast.

I'm not saying that they can't change at all. I'm saying that if company A uses technology Z and buys out Company B that uses technology G, they cant just change the G over to Z. They would have to buy spectrum in the Z frequencies before they change the G over to Z.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 3:39 PM
yea, you are missing the point..

i was saying if you have 800mhz spectrum and want to convert it into CDMA from IDEN it is quite easy.. not about from 800 to 1.9ghz.

if you have contig spectrum you can convert it.

anyway, since alltel wants to go to gsm (As mentioned in this forum as well as in their call) you can do it simply.. it is expensive and it does take a while but you can do it..

there are caps, but it seems like they are under the cap.. (but there will be divestitures with this merger. AT and midwest)

again.. if they have spectrum in a band and they are using the same band to go to gsm then they dont have to buy new spectrum.. (just have to tweak some things and create contig blocks and tweak the towers)

it...
(continues)
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muchdrama

Nov 18, 2005, 3:42 PM
nextel18 said:
yea, you are missing the point..

i was saying if you have 800mhz spectrum and want to convert it into CDMA from IDEN it is quite easy.. not about from 800 to 1.9ghz.

if you have contig spectrum you can convert it.

anyway, since alltel wants to go to gsm (As mentioned in this forum as well as in their call) you can do it simply.. it is expensive and it does take a while but you can do it..

there are caps, but it seems like they are under the cap.. (but there will be divestitures with this merger. AT and midwest)

again.. if they have spectrum in a band and they are using the same band to go to gsm then they dont have to buy new spectrum.. (just have to tweak some things and create contig
...
(continues)
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Axe0312

Nov 18, 2005, 3:54 PM
Alltel is not going GSM. Notice the new marketing campaign, they are investing millions into their CDMA network for it to be the best. An update into EvDO is not far off. They are not and will not go GSM as it will be a step backwards technologically.
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tropicalhaven

Nov 18, 2005, 7:25 PM
Actually, Alltel is expanding in thier GSM holdings. They acquired GSM systems from PSC Wireless, Cingular Wireless (divestiture of AT&T Wireless), and most importantly Western Wireless. Western Wireless was contracted to provide GSM roaming coverage, and Alltel can't just shut off all GSM coverage because it wants to.

I'm not implying that Alltel is fully *converting* to GSM, but they are rapidly expanding their GSM overlay.
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foneguy

Nov 19, 2005, 7:24 PM
Look at Crapulars network. Now look at TMOs network. Notice that their networks are not huge. There are massive gaps in the western half of the country(hell, if Crapular was honest, they would show that they have massive gaps everywhere, but I won't be too mean to them, yet).

Those areas, once devloped, will be massive revenue generating machines for whoever gets there first, i.e. Alltel, and others.
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tropicalhaven

Nov 18, 2005, 7:17 PM
Actually, Alltel must maintain GSM service from Western Wireless. Western Wireless was contracted to provide GSM roaming coverage to Cingular and T-Mobile, and Alltel must honor that contract. Plus, it's a significant amount of revenue, and it's in areas where thy system would not be overloaded. Ever thing you'll see a "System Busy" message in North Dakota?
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 12:49 PM
very interesting opinion..

by the way $2billion isnt in the network.. (it has to do with the 3g spectrum)

what would they gain? well spectrum, towers, and a 10 million subscribers..

according to their balance sheet their wireless unit's assets are 6.6 billion dollars. i think this that is quite expensive but they could always do a cdma/gsm phone.

they dont have the money? well cingular didnt have the money to buy out att wireless.

tmobile needs to expand quickly though and to get alltel i think it would be good, especially since there could be overlaps and synergies..

it was just a thought, but well thought out argument and opinion on your behalf..
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RUFF1415

Nov 18, 2005, 4:09 PM
Cingular didn't have the money to buy out AT&T Wireless?

That's funny because I swear I remember hearing that it was a $42 billion purchase...all cash deal. And hey, doesn't look like they're going bankrupt anytime soon. 😉
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 4:25 PM
ruff.

bell south and SBC borrowed money to help finance the purchase.. they didnt have it, becuase they borrowed it.

those sources are located in the annual reports of the 2 companies.. this is from SBC ...

" In October 2004, we
entered into a $12,000, 364-day revolving credit agreement
with certain investment and commercial banks to fund our
$21,600 equity contribution."

that is in billions also..

(so $12 billion and $21.6 billion.. they paid some in cash and BLS borrowed money too. they also used cingular's cash to help)

http://www.sbc.com/investor_relations/company_report ... »
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RUFF1415

Nov 18, 2005, 4:48 PM
Cash is cash. Nobody is going to loan out billions of dollars to Cingular (SBC and Bellsouth) unless they have the means of paying it back. They do.
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tropicalhaven

Nov 18, 2005, 7:30 PM
nextel18 said:
" In October 2004, we
entered into a $12,000, 364-day revolving credit agreement
with certain investment and commercial banks to fund our
$21,600 equity contribution."

that is in billions also..


Actually, it is in millions. $12,000 * $1,000,000,000 =
12,000,000,000,000, which is more than the 41,000,000,000 that BellSouth and SBC paid for AT&T Wireless.
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sangyup81

Nov 19, 2005, 2:57 PM
1,000,000,000 is a billion
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tropicalhaven

Nov 19, 2005, 11:01 PM
sangyup81 said:
1,000,000,000 is a billion

Yes, but 1,000,000,000,000 is not one billion, it is 1000 x 1 billion. I was highlighting that he should have said "those numbers are in billions" when they should have been in millions. 1 billion 41,000 times is not what Cingular paid for AT&T Wireless, they paid 1 billion 41 times.
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muchdrama

Nov 20, 2005, 12:07 AM
tropicalhaven said:
sangyup81 said:
1,000,000,000 is a billion

Yes, but 1,000,000,000,000 is not one billion, it is 1000 x 1 billion. I was highlighting that he should have said "those numbers are in billions" when they should have been in millions. 1 billion 41,000 times is not what Cingular paid for AT&T Wireless, they paid 1 billion 41 times.


Don't even bother, Tropical. He's cut from the exact same cloth as Nextel18.
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maizeandblue

Nov 18, 2005, 12:41 PM
i don't see alltel being purchased by anyone because they are looking to grow. they have now bought out 2 carriers in less then a year. they also currently cover more area then any other service provider(note i'm not saying population, i'm saying land area). finally they have an amazing roaming agreement w/ verizon that allows them to offer very competitive national plans(although that agreement ends in 07 i believe). i think the one thing that really hurts alltel is that they operate in very few large markets. I know of Jacksonville, FL and Oklamhoma City. Can anyone else fill me in on other large markets they serve?

as far as tmobile is concerned, i have no idea
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 12:50 PM
ok then what about alltel purchasing tmobile from DT?
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foneguy

Nov 19, 2005, 7:18 PM
DT said that TMO is not for sale earlier this week I believe.

And Alltel operates in several of the top 100 markets in the country. The Norfolk market alone covers 6 mil, and the Richmond market covers 9. Plus all the areas in NC, SC, etc. Alltel is primed to become one of the big national players in a few years. I would expect them to be in the top 5 by 2012(to be honest I think it will be sooner, but market conditions may change).
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muchdrama

Nov 18, 2005, 12:32 PM
nextel18 said:
thanks rich.. 🙂

(if you want you can take the post off of this news that is located on the alltel forum)



Okay, if I can even begin to figure out what was just said...you want Rich to take this off the front page? Isn't this front page news?
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wirelessoutletllc.com

Nov 18, 2005, 12:41 PM
Why and how would T-Mobile buy Alltel. They use two different technologies.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 12:51 PM
well we already talked about this.. sprint and nextel use the same tech they were merged. our friends up in canada, telus have cdma and iden..

how would tmobile buy alltel? easy.. ask DT to buy them.. or alltel can buy out tmobile usa from DT.

why? well to increase coverage, get spectrum and get subscribers..

they need to grow drastically.
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Wdw

Nov 18, 2005, 1:04 PM
The key player in all of this may be John Stanton former CEO of Western Wireless. Due to the sale of Western Wireless to Alltel he became the biggest single share holder in Alltel. He's also the person that sarted Voicestream wich became T-Mobile. He still has some ownership in T-Mobile USA. He still maintains and office in the old Western Wireless headquartes which happens to be next door to T-Mobile USA headquarters. We'll just have to wait and see.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 1:07 PM
yea, that is true..

but in your opinion, what do you think might happen between alltel and tmobile? (if anything)
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Wdw

Nov 18, 2005, 1:11 PM
It's hard to say. Alltel management is determined to grow. Very strong possibility that they'll spin off there wireline business. You wouldn't believe how much interaction there is between T-Mobile and the old Western Wireless, some of there offices are in the same building. Rumor has it that Stanton owns the buildings or at least some of the buildings that T-Mobile occupies.
T-Mobile definetly wants to saty independent. It would be costly for them to purchase Alltel, but it would let them keep up with the other big players.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 1:16 PM
well with buying tmobile usa they could grow too, especially the way tmobile has been doing.. granted they arent doing better then verizon or sprint on a qt by qt basis but they are doing quite well. cingular already has its flaws and are showing it from qt 4 of 2004 up till quarter 3 of 2005.

it is hard to say of course, but it is just an opinion... i wont laugh at ya with your opinion.. we know they are spinning off their wireline they mentioned it in the call.

tmobile wants to stay independant but many carriers and companies do and then they got purchased.. att wireless said they werent for sale then look cingular bought them... so that isnt very a fair argument.. lol.

if tmobile buys them out that would be very good, or vice...
(continues)
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Wdw

Nov 18, 2005, 1:23 PM
Well in AT&T case their management was inept at best. I think it's more likely that T-Mobile will buy Alltel than the other way around. T-Mobile has more money becuase of their parent company. T-Mobile has been making great strides in customer service and consumer recognition, Alltel is still viewed as a regional carrier.
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nextel18

Nov 18, 2005, 1:30 PM
yea.. well i meant either or..

alltel buying tmobile usa from DT or DT (tmobile usa) buying out alltel.

the point is you spend to grow.. (that is business)


"-Mobile has more money becuase of their parent company. T-Mobile has been making great strides in customer service and consumer recognition, Alltel is still viewed as a regional carrier."

very true!
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sangyup81

Nov 19, 2005, 3:00 PM
I mean, noone's thought of that possibility?
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cellularman2006

Nov 18, 2005, 5:45 PM
mr. 18 although he does drop "weird science" (lol) maybe right on this one t-mobile, alltel all gsm would be hot.

and dual tech phones wouldn't be that hard to fight through. at&t/cingy had gait phones which were tdma/gsm and nextel/sprint has their dual tech phones iden/cdma.
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danielson

Nov 18, 2005, 6:12 PM
I think that if DT were to buy alltel, they would wait until after the FCC auctions in '06 to see where they stand as far as spectrum and how much they bought at the auctions. If they aren't happy with the results after that, then they very well may consider buying out companies, alltel being one of them. Just b/c a company has a different tech. than the other and wants to buy it, doesn't mean it's not a good idea. They could do something similar to sprint/nextel by utilizing both technologies, or convert solely over to gsm over a period of serveral years. Any option tmobile takes will be a costly one, you just have to look at what the rewards will be once everything is completed. If you invest money into the stock market, yes it costs money...
(continues)
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nextel18

Nov 22, 2005, 9:29 AM
it makes the most sense, in my view.
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tropicalhaven

Nov 22, 2005, 8:56 PM
Yeah, and AT&T Wireless and Cingular dealt with many headaches with GAIT phones, including a lot of customer service about why sometimes the phones wouldn't work when you swapped the SIMs. There were also roaming issues that had to be worked out. I don't think it would be in the best interest of the shareholders of any carrier to pay for a system where features are not universal.
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muchdrama

Nov 23, 2005, 7:58 PM
tropicalhaven said:
Yeah, and AT&T Wireless and Cingular dealt with many headaches with GAIT phones, including a lot of customer service about why sometimes the phones wouldn't work when you swapped the SIMs. There were also roaming issues that had to be worked out. I don't think it would be in the best interest of the shareholders of any carrier to pay for a system where features are not universal.


ATTWS and Cingular have had enough trouble integrating their GSM networks...and everybody thinks iDen and CDMA will be easy? Please.
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draveed

Nov 19, 2005, 6:08 PM
I find a merger of Alltel and T-Mobile is highly unlikely.

Wouldn't it make more sense, since Alltel wants to grow fast, for it to buy Cricket (Leap Wireless)? It's not a huge company, but it is still sizable with 1.6 million customers, and it uses the same tech (CDMA).

I don't think T-Mobile or Alltel wants each other anyway. It would be a collosal headache for both companies. Each company wants to grow fast but a merger won't work because neither has the money to acquire and integrate the other with any speed. Sprint & Nextel can work, because both companies could afford to wait years to spread out the cost of integration. Neither Alltel or T-Mobile can wait those years if they want to be a relevant national carrier.
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foneguy

Nov 19, 2005, 7:27 PM
I've been speculating on this for a few years now. I was waiting for Ntelos to do it now that they have real money behind them, but I can see Alltel doing this with their current emphisis on growth.
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muchdrama

Nov 20, 2005, 12:08 AM
draveed said:
I find a merger of Alltel and T-Mobile is highly unlikely.

Wouldn't it make more sense, since Alltel wants to grow fast, for it to buy Cricket (Leap Wireless)? It's not a huge company, but it is still sizable with 1.6 million customers, and it uses the same tech (CDMA).

I don't think T-Mobile or Alltel wants each other anyway. It would be a collosal headache for both companies. Each company wants to grow fast but a merger won't work because neither has the money to acquire and integrate the other with any speed. Sprint & Nextel can work, because both companies could afford to wait years to spread out the cost of integration. Neither Alltel or T-Mobile can wait those years if they want to be a relevant
...
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